Squashed

A blog of politics, law, religion, and the tricky spots where they collide.

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The net worth of the average black household in the United States is $6,314, compared with $110,500 for the average white household, according to 2011 census data. The gap has worsened in the last decade, and the United States now has a greater wealth gap by race than South Africa did during apartheid.

A couple days back SDS wrote, ” I mean, compare fracking to green tech.” I believe this was supposed to be a rhetorical flourish about how everybody knows that fracking is hugely profitable and “green tech” investments were a comical waste of money.

It’s would be a reasonable rhetorical point around 2010. Except now we have electric cars. And my conventional car gets around 39 mpg. I’m writing this in a room where the efficient fluorescent bulb that I’ve never had to replace for years is a relative dinosaur next to the suddenly affordable LED bulb that paid for itself in about a year and will last (approximately) forever. I’m writing this on three pound laptop so think I’m not actually sure how the advanced battery fits in it. Ditto with the iPhone next to me.1 None of this was possible in 2010—and it’s unlikely that any of these awesome things would have existed without subsidies for these sorts of green tech.

Then there’s fracking. Here’s the chart showing that natural gas production has increased like a whopping 25% over the last few years. That’s a lot. It’s taken a major bite out of coal’s market share.

But I think “green tech” is really a reference to solar and wind power. I put the chart for solar power above. It’s a bit more dramatic. By contrast, electricity generated from wind has only gone up by 1,000% in the last decade. The state leading the charge in wind energy is the pinko bastion of Texas. More resources are coming online each year—so the trend is continuing.

Let’s address the obvious objection. Wind and solar combined still only make up around 5% of electrical generation in the United States. With that said, both show a pattern of geometric growth. Neither shows signs of abating. If five percent of the town’s is infected with the zombie virus with that rate of growth, you can make some reasonable predictions about where the movie’s growing. When the numbers look more like, say, coal at 50% and falling, the movie is over.



Full disclosure: My assertion that the advanced batteries are partially attributable to the various tax subsidies and whatnot for advanced battery research and production is an educated guess. I’m not really inclined to crack the very sealed devices open to confirm one way or the other. If you know whether I’m right or wrong, let me know. ↩

A couple days back SDS wrote, ” I mean, compare fracking to green tech.” I believe this was supposed to be a rhetorical flourish about how everybody knows that fracking is hugely profitable and “green tech” investments were a comical waste of money.

It’s would be a reasonable rhetorical point around 2010. Except now we have electric cars. And my conventional car gets around 39 mpg. I’m writing this in a room where the efficient fluorescent bulb that I’ve never had to replace for years is a relative dinosaur next to the suddenly affordable LED bulb that paid for itself in about a year and will last (approximately) forever. I’m writing this on three pound laptop so think I’m not actually sure how the advanced battery fits in it. Ditto with the iPhone next to me.1 None of this was possible in 2010—and it’s unlikely that any of these awesome things would have existed without subsidies for these sorts of green tech.

Then there’s fracking. Here’s the chart showing that natural gas production has increased like a whopping 25% over the last few years. That’s a lot. It’s taken a major bite out of coal’s market share.

But I think “green tech” is really a reference to solar and wind power. I put the chart for solar power above. It’s a bit more dramatic. By contrast, electricity generated from wind has only gone up by 1,000% in the last decade. The state leading the charge in wind energy is the pinko bastion of Texas. More resources are coming online each year—so the trend is continuing.

Let’s address the obvious objection. Wind and solar combined still only make up around 5% of electrical generation in the United States. With that said, both show a pattern of geometric growth. Neither shows signs of abating. If five percent of the town’s is infected with the zombie virus with that rate of growth, you can make some reasonable predictions about where the movie’s growing. When the numbers look more like, say, coal at 50% and falling, the movie is over.


  1. Full disclosure: My assertion that the advanced batteries are partially attributable to the various tax subsidies and whatnot for advanced battery research and production is an educated guess. I’m not really inclined to crack the very sealed devices open to confirm one way or the other. If you know whether I’m right or wrong, let me know. 

Eviction blockade rallies around retired Springfield firefighter and Upper Hill neigborhood resident Alex Richardson; eviction delayed by no-show locksmith | masslive.com

Maybe some of the lenders should adopt a “one vacant home at a time” policy. If there is already a boarded up, vacant home owned by a bank on the same block, maybe stop trying to evict another guy until you find somebody willing to live in the first home?

Isn’t this the basic rule you learn in kindergarten? You have to put away one toy before you get to play with another? Clean up your first mess before making another.

Steve King: Obama immigration move should spark impeachment talks - POLITICO.com

If I may summarize what brought us here:

  1. Pretty much everybody agrees that there is a legitimate moral and humanitarian crisis on the border.
  2. Obama asked Congress to do something.
  3. The House attempted to pass an immigration bill that everybody in the House knew would never pass the Senate, primarily in order to allow Republicans to have something to say when their constituents asked them why they were drawing a salary to dick around and be a national embarrassment.
  4. The Senate attempted to pass an immigration bill that everybody in the Senate knew would never pass the House, primarily in order to allow Democrats to have something to say when their constituents asked them why they were drawing a salary to dick around and be a national embarrassment.
  5. Both of these attempts failed. Neither chamber managed to pass even a waste of time face-saving bill.
  6. Republican leaders released a statement saying, “There are numerous steps the President can and should be taking right now, without the need for congressional action, to secure our borders and ensure these children are returned swiftly and safely to their countries.” In other words, “The President should do something because we’re totally defective.”
  7. Steve King—and doubtlessly a boatload of other Republicans—are now mad that Obama is acting without Congress.

Can somebody build me a browser extension that replaces the word “Congress” with “an unruly mob of children”? That way headlines will read, “Obama to circumvent an unruly mob of children on minimum wage for federal contractors.” Yes. I’m glad Obama gave a wide berth to those unruly children. One of the children could have been hurt. Or, “Obama introduces legislation to an unruly mob of children.” Well … it’s nice that he’s treating those children with dignity. But I won’t hold my breath that these unruly children will accomplish some sort of legislative purpose.

Bottom line? The branches of government are supposed to be coequal, not codependent.

A lot of congressfolk are demanding that Obama visit the border

It’s not clear what he’s supposed to do while he’s there. Presumably pose for photographs for negative campaign adds. But I suppose anybody can demand whatever they want of the President.

Can we change that rule slightly, though? I’d like the rule to be that you can demand anything you want to demand from the President unless you’re a member of a Congress with single digit approval ratings. Because maybe you need to prioritize getting your own branch of government in shape. Perhaps hold off on throwing stones until you figure out how to get that approval rating up to, say, 25%?

Notifying Congress

Obama has gotten a lot of flack from both sides for not notifying Congress prior to doing various military-related things. The War Powers Resolution requires a notification to Congress of military action and prohibits committing troops for more than 60 days without Congress’s permission. The National Defense Authorization Act requires notification prior to transferring detainees out of Guantanamo. Every single administration has maintained the position that these provisions are unconstitutional. Essentially, when the military is doing time-sensitive military stuff, it can’t be beholden to political gridlock. And doing time-sensitive military stuff is exclusively the jurisdiction of the executive branch.

With that said, the Presidents tend to, for the most part, follow the rules. Notifying Congress when it wants to be notified is probably good policy.

I’m not generally a fan of expanding executive power. But the Presidents are right on this one, aren’t they? Congress sucks. You can’t do time-sensitive military things when the House of Representatives is like, “Okay, but first let’s repeal Obamacare.” Notifying Congress is important, where practical. But when it comes down to it, it’s probably not actually the law.

Hope, change, and a few things I’ve learned since then

In 2008, I thought well-intentioned smart people could pretty much solve the country’s problems. Obama was elected President—and I thought a lot of things were going to change pretty quickly.

And a lot of things changed. We got a recession. We also got Obamacare, the CFPB, and thousands of small but significant changes to the way government works. Every bit of has been hard fought and grueling.

I wasn’t dumb in 2008. I didn’t think things would that change quickly. I didn’t think anything would be particularly easy. But I didn’t think it would be this hard.

Here are a few things I’ve learned since then.

  1. Significant and systemic change is possible.
  2. Getting good folks in government is part of what’s necessary.
  3. Large groups of people exercising an organized and targeted political voice can be incredibly powerful.

Cards on the table? I’m stilly pretty hopey-changey. But I underestimated how messy it all was. It takes a lot of work by a lot of people. Building a skyscraper takes a team of engineers and architects. But it’s not the engineers and architects who build the thing.

Four things about waste, fraud, and abuse

First, nobody is in favor of waste, fraud, and abuse. If one side of a political issue says “this is about stopping waste, fraud and abuse” and some other side disagrees with the policy, there’s some other issue in play the waste/fraud/abuse folks aren’t talking about.

Second, efforts to combat it is inherently wasteful. Trying to root out and prosecute fraud has its own costs. If it takes $10,000 to track down $9,000 of waste, it’s no good.

Third, combatting waste, fraud, and abuse has, in the past, been used to attack programs or policies people don’t like. Onerous and unnecessary audits can be used both to make people afraid to do their jobs, to waste resources, and to use technical deficiencies as political cover to shut something down. These were used pretty heavily during the Reagan administration against Legal Services Corporation grantees.

Fourth, be careful about claims like “30% of the money was not properly accounted for.” That’s not the same thing as “30% of the money is just missing.” It could be that some form was filled out the wrong way or that an audit found that some box wasn’t checked in a grant report. Somebody forgot a zipcode on a form. Or maybe there’s a required certification that somebody has not been convicted of fraud that wasn’t in a file. It’s not that the person was convicted of fraud—it’s just that somebody forgot to fill out a form.

None of this is to say that we don’t have major problems with fraud—particularly in large federal contracts. But read carefully.

Prisoner Exchanges

Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl has been released by the Taliban in exchange for five detainees who have been held for a dozen years Guantanamo Bay. The five guys all released are pretty serious Taliban guys. Some of them seem to be involved in a variety of war crimes and mass murders. If the conservatives are going to claim that letting these guys out (into the custody of Qatar) makes the world a less safe place, they’re probably right.

But … at some point there are principles. If we have prisoners of war, the war has to end at some point. And if we’ve just got prisoners, we’ve got to give them a trial. Five fewer people indefinitely detained is, in itself, a good thing.