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It will be Obama/Gore

I haven’t made a precise, completely wrong prediction in a while, so I thought I’d go out on a limb here.  Al Gore will be Obama’s VP candidate.  He’s the only person that makes sense.  Here are some reasons why.

  • Obama needs to appease Hillary’s supporters.  This means having a very good reason not to choose Clinton.  Gore is the only Democrat who isn’t named Clinton with a profile anywhere near Hillary’s.
  • Nobody really dislikes Gore.  At worst people are unexcited.  A VP Gore wouldn’t really upset anybody.
  • Obama doesn’t need to grab a new swath of voters with the VP choice.  He just needs to avoid isolating those he already has.
  • Gore has been outside Washington for long enough that he won’t muck up the change mandate.
  • Gore actually has relevant experience.  This could assuage some people’s concerns.
  • For what it’s worth, he’s a Southerner.
Democracy demands that the religiously motivated translate their concerns into universal, rather than religion-specific, values. It requires that their proposals be subject to argument, and amenable to reason. I may be opposed to abortion for religious reasons, but if I seek to pass a law banning the practice, I cannot simply point to the teachings of my church or evoke God’s will. I have to explain why abortion violates some principle that is accessible to people of all faiths, including those with no faith at all. Now this is going to be difficult for some who believe in the inerrancy of the Bible, as many evangelicals do. But in a pluralistic democracy, we have no choice. Politics depends on our ability to persuade each other of common aims based on a common reality. It involves the compromise, the art of what’s possible. At some fundamental level, religion does not allow for compromise. It’s the art of the impossible. If God has spoken, then followers are expected to live up to God’s edicts, regardless of the consequences. To base one’s life on such uncompromising commitments may be sublime, but to base our policy making on such commitments would be a dangerous thing.

Barack Obama (via azspot)

I think Obama’s pretty much right on this one.  I would only add the wrinkle that if I am opposed to abortion for religious reasons and seek to pass a law banning the practice, I can point ot the teachings of my church or evoke God’s will.  I think the language of religion has every place in the public sphere.  However, this method may be a poor way to build a consensus.

We do not have a majority religious tradition in this country—at least not a majority voting block.  Catholics and Evangelicals may both oppose abortion, but they do so for very different reasons.  If they are going to organize they will need to reach out to others, which means leaving room for a lot more ecumenicalism than some are comfortable with.

Compromises and changes of position

It’s that part of election season again.  McCain seems to be reconsidering immigration.  Obama may be reconsidering NAFTA.  The shift toward the extreme in the primaries is balanced by a shift toward the center.  Much of it is a matter of emphasizing different proposals than were previously emphasized—but some of it may represent a legitimate change of position.

Some of this shouldn’t be worrisome.  Afterall, the candidates are surrounding themselves with moderates.  They are getting different information from different people.  They are listening to the concerns of a broader swath of people, which will emphasize different problems.

Should this be worrisome?  Perhaps a bit, if it casts doubt on the sincerity of previous positions.  On the other hand, a few compromises in light of new developments or new information are probably a good idea.

Help me understand: "China"

jakoblodwick:

Can you explain the political situation in China in three sentences?

The increasingly capitalist “Communist” party retains all political power.  Public dissent is illegal and is a good way to find yourself in jail.  While international pressure and a nationalistic desire to look good for the Olympics suggests some thawing of this tight grip on expression, there is little indication that any hoped for relaxation will be either significant or lasting.

Yes, Tumblr is blocked in China

In all honesty, I was hoping it was just me.  Then I’d know I’d made it.