A Hugo Chavez style nationalization of the auto industry is probably a singularly bad idea—but I also don’t mean that headline as a satire. Bear with me for a few paragraphs—then feel free to tell me what’s wrong with my crazy plan. Think of it as a thought exercise.
The background
We’ve got a handful of problems. The American auto industry is near bankruptcy. The American auto industry isn’t particularly enthusiastic about lowering emissions or raising efficiency—and vehicle emissions contribute significantly to global warming. Also, we have a serious general purpose economic collapse. Finally, having a functioning domestic auto industry has some serious national security benefits.
Some history
The Great Depression sucked. As many conservatives have pointed out recently, FDR’s New Deal really wasn’t enough to end it. It really took World War II to pull the United States out of the Great Depression. But what people often don’t mention is why a war pulled the country out of an economic depression. World War II was not a good time to be a libertarian. Besides drafting soldiers and interning Japanese-Americans we came the closest we’ve ever come to a dictator-style command economy. Rosie the Riveter wasn’t making civilian vehicles—and neither she nor whomever nominally owned her factory had a lot to say in the matter. Granted, we had a pretty good reason to functionally seize control of a slew of industries—but the idea that World War II ending the great depression somehow suggests that New Deal style government tampering didn’t work is goofy. There might have been more efficient ways to end the depression than World War II—but the way the depression actually ended involved everything form price controls to tax increases.
Some recent suggestions
Recently a number of proposals have been made.
- Bailout the auto industry
- We need a “Green Manhattan Project”
- Increase fuel efficiency standards
A Proposal
Let’s nationalize the auto industry. We can retool some of the plants to create large numbers of highly efficient vehicles. We can then sell both the cars and the technology to recoup the cost.
A synthesis?
You’re probably thinking, wait a minute, that’s a crazy solution. That’s not the sort of thing we do in this country—and we really don’t want to start setting this precedent. (If you did not think this, you really should have.)
Could we tweak this idea and come up with a half-decent proposal? Rather than just grabbing the industry, we could use half the money we’d planned to use as a bailout to buy already existing (but unused or underused) infrastructure. This injection of capital could keep the companies afloat. We use the other half to set up smaller companies that would hire essentially the same employees, retool the plants, create new cars, and eventually pay back their loans. If we wanted to get really fancy, we could set up companies with a charter to produce and sell something like 100,000 cars that got something like 100 mpg (or better yet, comparably efficient trucks). If they can accomplish this goal, within some time frame, some or all of the interest on the initial loans could be forgiven and the company could be purely private.
A Caveat:
If your friends are as lame as me and are talking about the advantages and disadvantages of bailing out the auto industry, don’t say something like, “What we really need to do is nationalize the auto industry.” It’s really not that great an idea. Your friends will think you’re crazy. They might even go Joe the McCarthy on you. You’ll never be taken seriously again.
So…why?
Why am I even mentioning it? I think the idea sucks a lot less than some of the other proposals out there. Letting the whole auto industry fail is really not acceptable. Throwing money into the companies as they currently exist seems like a waste of money and has the unfortunate effect of awarding incompetent management. What would you propose?